8 января 2022

США, Украина и гарантия безопасности: логика российских требований Казахстан - это, безусловно, важно, но переговоры с США и НАТО - по-прежнему центральная тема российской политики. Собственно, логику этой политики мы и пытались разъяснить западным коллегам на страницах War on the Rocks. WOTR - популярное в американском профессиональном сообществе издание - если и пытаться внушить кому-то за океаном, что складывающаяся ситуация серьезная, то только тут. "This swift and somewhat bewildering presentation by Moscow should not be read as a bluff or as yet another attempt to simply get the attention of the United States. Putin may not exactly know what he wants, but he surely knows what he doesn’t want: over the course of his almost 20-year rule, this is his third major call to negotiate more favorable security conditions for Russia. Two previous attempts ended in wars. This time Moscow feels may be different, primarily because of the changing focus of the United States from Europe to Asia, and a U.S. interest in “a stable, predictable relationship” with Russia. In other words, there’s a sense that Washington is looking for changes to the European security architecture so that it can focus on the Indo-Pacific. And if that is the case, Russia can be part of the solution if the United States agrees to the Kremlin proposals, or become an even bigger problem if the United States rejects them."